Key takeaways
What Affects Pricing?
The price of regular coffee on restaurant menus in the United States has experienced significant fluctuations over the past two years. Several factors can influence the price of coffee, including sourcing, demand, labor, equipment, and overhead costs.
Key Factors Recently
Weather is among the most influential factors affecting coffee prices in recent years. Coffee requires very specific conditions to grow and is primarily sourced from an area known as the “bean belt,” which lies between the Tropic of Cancer and the Tropic of Capricorn.
Extreme weather, including both droughts and flooding, has put a strain on coffee production over the past few years, but demand has continued to grow.
Due to increased demand and climate concerns from harvesters in Brazil , coffee prices may continue climbing at a rate higher than that of other menu items. After remaining flat for several months, median coffee prices started rising again in July 2025.
Key Factors Recently
Weather is among the most influential factors affecting coffee prices in recent years. Coffee requires very specific conditions to grow and is primarily sourced from an area known as the “bean belt,” which lies between the Tropic of Cancer and the Tropic of Capricorn.
Extreme weather, including both droughts and flooding, has put a strain on coffee production over the past few years, but demand has continued to grow.
Due to increased demand and climate concerns from harvesters in Brazil, coffee prices may continue climbing at a rate higher than that of other menu items. After remaining flat for several months, median coffee prices started rising again in July 2025.
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About the Toast Menu Price Monitor
The Menu Price Monitor, powered by Toast, uncovers key menu pricing trends across the restaurant industry through aggregated sales data from restaurants on the Toast platform, which has approximately 156,000 locations as of Sept. 30, 2025. This information is provided for general informational purposes only, and publication does not constitute an endorsement. Toast does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of any information, text, graphics, links, or other items contained within this content. Individual results may vary. Toast does not guarantee you will achieve any specific results if you follow any advice herein. It may be advisable for you to consult with a professional such as a lawyer, accountant, or business advisor for advice specific to your situation. The Toast Menu Item Price Tracker does not indicate Toast's operational performance or its reported financial metrics.
